19 February 2016

What do I think of the EU?

(This piece was originally written in February 2016 and republished in June.

Some months ago my sister asked me for guidance on the EU as she was undecided.  To help clarify my own thoughts I wrote this little essay.  I don't know whether it helped my sister, but anyway here it is).



Plenty of clever people have written detailed histories and analyses of the EU, backed up by tomes of evidence and statistics, and have come to opposite or conflicting conclusions.  I can’t really add anything worthwhile to those essays, but these are my own personal thoughts.

I am instinctively pro-European.  I studied languages at school (mostly French, German and Latin) and was exposed to classical and modern European literature, music and culture.  In my youth I made several visits to France and Germany (including 3 months working in Mannheim/Ludwigshafen in 1962) and more recently to most western and central European countries, especially numerous visits to Czechoslovakia before and after the fall of communism.  I like much of what I have seen, and I especially like France.  I worry a little about recent political developments in Hungary, Poland and Slovakia, but these reservations are relatively minor.

I greatly welcome the influence that continental Europe has had in eroding the infuriating insularity of the UK – on food and drink, measurement units, the arts and the media.

By contrast I abhor the pernicious influence of the USA – its brash dumbed-down culture, its free market ideology, its hi-jacking and murder of the English language, its dysfunctional constitution and politics, its arrogant assumption that America is best and is entitled to impose its culture and politics on the rest of the world. 

So I am instinctively pro-European.

However, Europe is not the same as the European Union (or European Economic Community, as it used to be known).  

The theory behind the original Schuman/Monnet plan (ca 1950, I think, when the priority was to reconcile France and Germany after WW2) was that if you locked together the economies of the major countries, then war would be unthinkable, and it would lead to political union – a United States of Europe.  I think they got it wrong.  They should have gone for political union first, and the economics would have followed.  They also made the mistake of imposing a supranational bureaucracy (the Commission) on the independent nation states, backed by a weak and relatively powerless European Parliament.  Although there was no European “government”, the Commission has a monopoly of proposing legislation:  neither the Council of Ministers (representing the nation states) nor the Parliament can initiate legislation.  The rules of “qualified majority voting” (or unanimity) make it difficult to agree new policy – let alone change a policy once agreed.  

The underlying ideology of the founding Treaty of Rome (effectively the constitution) was basically free market capitalism, and a major role of the Commission is to police the single market and restrict the role of national governments and parliaments in managing and regulating the economy and society more generally.  So in the 1975 referendum I voted “No” to continued membership.

Things began to change in the 1980s, especially under the socialist Commission President, Jacques Delors (1985-95), supported by French President Francois Mitterrand and German Chancellor Helmut Kohl.  To the fury of Margaret Thatcher, Delors introduced or expanded the “social dimension” of the EU – including the Working Time Directive, and environmental and health and safety legislation.  This changed the balance of the argument, and I viewed the EU in a different light.  

Initially, I supported the single currency project (also a Delors/Mitterrand/Kohl project) and the Schengen passport-free travel project. However, the implementation of both turned out to be flawed, and it is as well that John Major and Gordon Brown kept the UK out of the Euro currency.  As Margaret Thatcher correctly perceived, a single currency requires a single monetary policy (interest rates, money supply and inflation target) complemented by a single economic and fiscal policy (taxation, public expenditure and employment target) – which means a single government. (This goes back to the flawed decision to put economic union before political union).  The travails of Greece and the de facto hegemony of Germany illustrate this. 

Likewise, a passport-free travel area requires a common external border control, coupled with internal control via identity cards (which, inexplicably, seem to be anathema in the UK). The current immigrant crisis has exposed the weaknesses in the Schengen system.
So what are the pros and cons of EU membership?  Here is a selection (probably not an exhaustive list)

Pro


  • ·         I feel European – sharing the heritage of Beethoven, Leonardo and Voltaire, the cuisine of France, the architecture of Italy and Greece, the engineering achievements of Germany, the scenery of the Alps, the Mediterranean and the Rhine Valley.
  • ·         The EU has indeed made war between Germany and France unthinkable.
  • ·         It prevents national governments from discriminating on grounds of nationality, race, sex, age etc (though, sadly, religious discrimination is permitted).
  • ·         It facilitates trade amongst member states by eliminating tariffs and non-tariff barriers to trade.
  • ·         It sets minimum standards of employee rights, health and safety and environmental protection
  • ·         It promotes equality by transferring wealth from richer to poorer countries
  • ·         It ensures self-sufficiency of the EU in most agricultural products and protects fish stocks from over-fishing
  • ·         It enables unemployed people in one member state to work, pay taxes and draw benefits (including health services) in another member state
  • ·         It enables people from one member state to live and own property in another member state


Cons


  • ·         The freedom of individual states to pursue their own policies and pass their own laws is constrained by treaty obligations and EU directives (the loss of individual sovereignty)  [Depending on your viewpoint, this might be considered a “pro”]

  • ·         The democratic deficit in the EU – the relative powerlessness of the European Parliament, and the ability of governments (in the Council of Ministers) to block or retard new policies

  • ·         The presumption in favour of private enterprise and against public enterprise

  • ·         The ideology underlying the European Central Bank and the Euro currency is flawed and tends to restrain economic and employment growth, leading to social unrest especially in southern Europe (which indirectly affects the UK)

  • ·         The Schengen passport-free zone, while an admirable objective, requires a rethink in the light of the migration crisis

  • ·         Some of the newer members (e.g. Hungary) have unsavoury, nationalist regimes

  • ·         The eastward expansion, especially into the Baltics (cf. NATO), has unsettled Russia and provided a pretext for President Putin to pursue aggressive, nationalist policies to reinforce his corrupt, authoritarian regime. 

Britain’s place in the world

But perhaps, overriding all this is the question: What is Britain’s place in the world in the 21st century?  

100 years ago Britannia still ruled the waves (just).  The sun never set on the Empire, and a quarter of the world’s population were ruled from Whitehall.  Today we are a prosperous but rather vulnerable nation state on the north west of Europe – population ca 65 million out of a world population of 7 billion (i.e. just under 1%).  We are vulnerable in that we cannot produce enough food for our population, and we struggle to export enough manufactured goods and services to pay for our imports (the trade deficit).  We cling to memories of past glories, our victories over Napoleon and Hitler (not to mention the Argies), our (non-) independent nuclear deterrent, our permanent seat at the UN Security Council and our “punching above our weight” as Douglas Hurd once put it.  For now we are still the 5th or 6th largest economy in the world, but that will not last, as populations and living standards rise in India, Brazil, Nigeria, Indonesia etc. 

Apart from our dependency on imported food, we face many other challenges (mostly related to world overpopulation):  climate change, pollution, exhaustion of natural resources, international migration (the backwash of poverty and foreign wars), religious fanaticism and foreign authoritarian regimes (such as Russia and China).  

Are we better able to deal with these challenges alone – or in co-operation with neighbouring states with similar economies, societies, histories and culture?   The question surely answers itself.  And if we need to co-operate with like-minded countries, is it better to do it on an ad hoc basis as crises occur – or within an organised framework of established law and institutions in which we have an important voice?  Again the answer is clear.

Moreover, what would our EU partners think of us if we decided we didn’t like them any more and no longer wanted to co-operate on matters of trade, migration, agriculture, fishing etc and contribute a fair share to the common budget?  Would they be more likely to want to help us if/when we hit problems of our own – such as BSE, foot and mouth disease, the banking crash, or a sterling crisis?  Of course, the opposite is the case.

So, although the EU is not perfect, I shall be voting to remain.


 © 2016 Robin Paice



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